Meteorologia spaziale

Velocità del vento solare Vento solare dei campi magnetici Apice radioflusso a 10.7 cm
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WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted
Issued: 08.09.2024 07:53 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Sep 09: None (Below G1) Sep 10: G2 (Moderate) Sep 11: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Issued: 08.09.2024 01:29 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Sep 08 0057 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 924 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 04.09.2024 17:55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4683
Valid From: 2024 Sep 04 1055 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Sep 04 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Emesso: 04.09.2024 15:18 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2024 Sep 04 1455 UTC
Station: GOES16

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

SUMMARY
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Emesso: 04.09.2024 11:00 UTC
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Observed: 2024 Sep 04 1030 UTC
Deviation: 40 nT
Station: BOU

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 04.09.2024 10:43 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2024 Sep 04 1043 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Sep 04 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Emesso: 04.09.2024 10:43 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2024 Sep 04 1039 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 04.09.2024 10:39 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Sep 04 1055 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Sep 04 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Emesso: 04.09.2024 10:17 UTC
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2024 Sep 04 1030 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Sep 04 1100 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2024 Sep 04 0940 UTC

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Emesso: 04.09.2024 03:04 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2024 Sep 04 0250 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Sep 04 0251 UTC
End Time: 2024 Sep 04 0251 UTC
Duration: 1 minutes
Peak Flux: 250 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 242 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Emesso: 03.09.2024 12:55 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Valid From: 2024 Sep 03 1255 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Sep 04 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Emesso: 03.09.2024 08:42 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Sep 03 0753 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 547 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 01.09.2024 17:55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4681
Valid From: 2024 Aug 30 0849 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Sep 02 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Emesso: 01.09.2024 14:41 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2024 Sep 01 1141 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Sep 01 1322 UTC
End Time: 2024 Sep 01 1436 UTC
X-ray Class: M5.5
Location: S21E90
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Emesso: 01.09.2024 13:03 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Sep 01 1300 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 01.09.2024 11:58 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4680
Valid From: 2024 Aug 30 0849 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Sep 01 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 31.08.2024 23:21 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4679
Valid From: 2024 Aug 30 0849 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Sep 01 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 31.08.2024 20:55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4678
Valid From: 2024 Aug 30 0849 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 31 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 31.08.2024 17:16 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 31 1715 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 31.08.2024 16:15 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2024 Aug 31 1612 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Aug 31 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 31.08.2024 14:44 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4677
Valid From: 2024 Aug 30 0849 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 31 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 31.08.2024 09:14 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 31 0900 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 31.08.2024 08:56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4676
Valid From: 2024 Aug 30 0849 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 31 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 31.08.2024 08:56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1918
Valid From: 2024 Aug 30 2335 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 31 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 30.08.2024 23:59 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 30 2359 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 30.08.2024 23:34 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2024 Aug 30 2335 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Aug 31 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 30.08.2024 23:34 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4675
Valid From: 2024 Aug 30 0849 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 31 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 30.08.2024 13:21 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4674
Valid From: 2024 Aug 30 0849 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 30 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Emesso: 30.08.2024 08:52 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 30 0852 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 30.08.2024 08:49 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Aug 30 0849 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Aug 30 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Emesso: 28.08.2024 21:13 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Aug 29: G1 (Minor) Aug 30: None (Below G1) Aug 31: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Comment: Lingering CME effects are likely to cause geomagnetic storming during the early hours of 29 Aug.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 28.08.2024 07:32 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1916
Valid From: 2024 Aug 28 0133 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 28 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 28.08.2024 07:28 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4672
Valid From: 2024 Aug 27 2323 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 28 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 28.08.2024 07:03 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 28 0659 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Emesso: 28.08.2024 03:01 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 28 0259 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Emesso: 28.08.2024 02:23 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2024 Aug 28 0223 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Aug 28 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 28.08.2024 02:12 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 28 0212 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 28.08.2024 01:33 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2024 Aug 28 0133 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Aug 28 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Emesso: 28.08.2024 00:04 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 27 2359 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 27.08.2024 23:23 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Aug 27 2323 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Aug 28 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Emesso: 25.08.2024 00:19 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Aug 25 0000 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 360 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Emesso: 23.08.2024 20:27 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2024 Aug 23 2008 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Aug 23 2012 UTC
End Time: 2024 Aug 23 2018 UTC
X-ray Class: M5.1
Location: S27E22
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Emesso: 23.08.2024 20:20 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 23 2012 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 23.08.2024 06:19 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Aug 23 0619 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Aug 23 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Emesso: 23.08.2024 03:54 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Aug 23 0343 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 347 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Emesso: 23.08.2024 02:20 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Aug 23 0119 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 236 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 22.08.2024 02:46 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Aug 22 0246 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Aug 22 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Emesso: 21.08.2024 22:30 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2024 Aug 21 2159 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Aug 21 2208 UTC
End Time: 2024 Aug 21 2217 UTC
X-ray Class: M5.1
Location: S03E31
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Emesso: 21.08.2024 22:11 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 21 2207 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 21.08.2024 05:59 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4668
Valid From: 2024 Aug 21 0147 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 21 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 21.08.2024 01:47 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Aug 21 0147 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Aug 21 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 18.08.2024 17:55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4666
Valid From: 2024 Aug 17 1354 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 18 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CANCEL WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Emesso: 18.08.2024 13:46 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Cancel Serial Number: 1009
Original Issue Time: 2024 Aug 15 1358 UTC

Comment: Current conditions no longer warrent this Watch.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 17.08.2024 23:55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4665
Valid From: 2024 Aug 17 1354 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 18 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 17.08.2024 23:55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1914
Valid From: 2024 Aug 17 1600 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 18 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 17.08.2024 21:54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 17 2147 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 17.08.2024 21:01 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 17 2059 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Emesso: 17.08.2024 17:46 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 17 1746 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Emesso: 17.08.2024 17:45 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Valid From: 2024 Aug 17 1744 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Aug 17 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G3 or greater

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Emesso: 17.08.2024 17:12 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 17 1712 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Emesso: 17.08.2024 16:44 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2024 Aug 17 1644 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Aug 17 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 17.08.2024 16:17 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 17 1616 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 17.08.2024 16:01 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2024 Aug 17 1600 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Aug 17 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Emesso: 17.08.2024 15:58 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 17 1555 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 17.08.2024 13:55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Aug 17 1354 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Aug 17 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Emesso: 15.08.2024 13:58 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Aug 16: None (Below G1) Aug 17: None (Below G1) Aug 18: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 14.08.2024 23:12 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Aug 14 2312 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Aug 15 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Emesso: 14.08.2024 16:07 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2024 Aug 14 1539 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Aug 14 1549 UTC
End Time: 2024 Aug 14 1557 UTC
X-ray Class: M5.3
Location: S09E76
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Emesso: 14.08.2024 15:50 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 14 1548 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Emesso: 14.08.2024 07:30 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Aug 14 0649 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 516 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Emesso: 14.08.2024 07:16 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2024 Aug 14 0600 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Aug 14 0640 UTC
End Time: 2024 Aug 14 0708 UTC
X-ray Class: X1.0
Optical Class: 2b
Location: N15E01
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Emesso: 14.08.2024 07:13 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Aug 14 0649 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 223 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Emesso: 14.08.2024 07:09 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2024 Aug 14 0641 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Aug 14 0650 UTC
End Time: 2024 Aug 14 0655 UTC
Duration: 14 minutes
Peak Flux: 500 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 260 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

ALERT
Type IV Radio Emission
Emesso: 14.08.2024 07:04 UTC
Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Aug 14 0639 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Emesso: 14.08.2024 06:30 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 14 0626 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 13.08.2024 23:30 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2024 Aug 13 2330 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Aug 14 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Emesso: 13.08.2024 22:26 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 13 2226 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 13.08.2024 22:12 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Aug 13 2211 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Aug 14 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 13.08.2024 05:42 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1911
Valid From: 2024 Aug 11 0745 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 13 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Emesso: 13.08.2024 05:42 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 537
Valid From: 2024 Aug 12 0055 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 13 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 13.08.2024 02:26 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 13 0225 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 12.08.2024 23:49 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1909
Valid From: 2024 Aug 11 0745 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 13 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Emesso: 12.08.2024 23:49 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 536
Valid From: 2024 Aug 12 0055 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 13 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Emesso: 12.08.2024 23:02 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 12 2301 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 12.08.2024 22:36 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 12 2235 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Emesso: 12.08.2024 19:45 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 12 1941 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 12.08.2024 18:30 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 12 1826 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 12.08.2024 18:27 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4661
Valid From: 2024 Aug 11 0720 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 13 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Emesso: 12.08.2024 17:34 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Extension to Serial Number: 112
Valid From: 2024 Aug 12 0505 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 13 0000 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Emesso: 12.08.2024 17:33 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 535
Valid From: 2024 Aug 12 0055 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 13 0000 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 12.08.2024 17:33 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1908
Valid From: 2024 Aug 11 0745 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 13 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Emesso: 12.08.2024 16:44 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 12 1638 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted
Emesso: 12.08.2024 16:09 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Aug 13: G2 (Moderate) Aug 14: None (Below G1) Aug 15: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Emesso: 12.08.2024 15:36 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 12 1527 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 8, 9-
Emesso: 12.08.2024 14:48 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 8, 9-
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 12 1442 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G4 - Severe

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 45 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Possible widespread voltage control problems and some protective systems may mistakenly trip out key assets from the power grid. Induced pipeline currents intensify.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low earth orbit satellites, and tracking and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Satellite navigation (GPS) degraded or inoperable for hours.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation sporadic or blacked out.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Alabama and northern California.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Emesso: 12.08.2024 14:19 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Extension to Serial Number: 111
Valid From: 2024 Aug 12 0505 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 12 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Emesso: 12.08.2024 14:18 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 534
Valid From: 2024 Aug 12 0055 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 12 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 12.08.2024 14:17 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1907
Valid From: 2024 Aug 11 0745 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 13 0000 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Emesso: 12.08.2024 14:16 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 12 1412 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Emesso: 12.08.2024 12:33 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 12 1229 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 12.08.2024 12:21 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 12 1220 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Emesso: 12.08.2024 11:52 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 12 1152 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Emesso: 12.08.2024 10:06 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 12 1005 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 12.08.2024 09:55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 12 0952 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Emesso: 12.08.2024 09:04 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 533
Valid From: 2024 Aug 12 0055 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 12 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 12.08.2024 09:04 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1906
Valid From: 2024 Aug 11 0745 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 12 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Emesso: 12.08.2024 08:58 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Extension to Serial Number: 110
Valid From: 2024 Aug 12 0505 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 12 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Emesso: 12.08.2024 08:11 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 12 0808 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Emesso: 12.08.2024 06:39 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 12 0638 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 12.08.2024 06:22 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 12 0618 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Emesso: 12.08.2024 05:28 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 12 0525 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Emesso: 12.08.2024 05:06 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Valid From: 2024 Aug 12 0505 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Aug 12 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G3 or greater

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Emesso: 12.08.2024 04:12 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 12 0412 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 12.08.2024 03:21 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 12 0321 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Emesso: 12.08.2024 00:56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 12 0057 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Emesso: 12.08.2024 00:55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2024 Aug 12 0055 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Aug 12 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 12.08.2024 00:55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4660
Valid From: 2024 Aug 11 0720 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 12 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 12.08.2024 00:55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1905
Valid From: 2024 Aug 11 0745 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 12 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 12.08.2024 00:44 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 12 0040 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 11.08.2024 23:59 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 11 2354 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 11.08.2024 20:46 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1904
Valid From: 2024 Aug 11 0745 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 12 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 11.08.2024 20:46 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4659
Valid From: 2024 Aug 11 0720 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 12 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 11.08.2024 14:09 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 11 1400 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 11.08.2024 14:09 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1903
Valid From: 2024 Aug 11 0745 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 11 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 11.08.2024 14:09 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4658
Valid From: 2024 Aug 11 0720 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Aug 12 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 11.08.2024 08:35 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 11 0832 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 11.08.2024 07:44 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2024 Aug 11 0745 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Aug 11 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Emesso: 11.08.2024 07:29 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 11 0728 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 11.08.2024 07:21 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Aug 11 0720 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Aug 11 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Emesso: 10.08.2024 03:08 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2024 Aug 10 0214 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Aug 10 0237 UTC
End Time: 2024 Aug 10 0252 UTC
X-ray Class: M5.3
Optical Class: sf
Location: S10E04
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Emesso: 10.08.2024 02:54 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2024 Aug 10 0228 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Aug 10 0230 UTC
End Time: 2024 Aug 10 0231 UTC
Duration: 3 minutes
Peak Flux: 320 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 306 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Emesso: 10.08.2024 02:39 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Aug 10 0234 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

Tabella

Data Radio flux 10.7 cm SESC Numero di macchie solari Zona macchie solari 10E-6 Nuove regioni GOES15 X-ray Bkgd flux Brillamenti
X-ray Ottica
C M X S 1 2 3
09.08.2024 306 382 3260 0 * 6 7 0 21 4 0 0
10.08.2024 291 234 2630 0 * 8 5 0 21 1 1 0
11.08.2024 282 194 2500 4 * 9 4 0 22 2 0 0
12.08.2024 272 245 2450 0 * 8 2 0 29 1 0 0
13.08.2024 260 199 2410 0 * 10 3 0 27 2 0 0
14.08.2024 248 194 2250 1 * 3 3 1 27 0 1 0
15.08.2024 227 164 1420 1 * 7 1 0 22 0 1 0
16.08.2024 225 169 1220 2 * 8 1 0 12 1 0 0
17.08.2024 230 170 1440 2 * 1 4 0 13 2 0 0
18.08.2024 231 170 1640 2 * 5 5 0 12 0 0 0
19.08.2024 239 213 2240 2 * 10 2 0 9 1 0 0
20.08.2024 244 200 2010 0 * 3 2 0 17 0 0 0
21.08.2024 239 176 1730 1 * 5 2 0 9 0 1 0
22.08.2024 231 175 1690 2 * 15 1 0 17 2 0 0
23.08.2024 242 180 1730 0 * 11 8 0 20 3 0 0
24.08.2024 232 172 1780 0 * 11 5 0 23 3 1 0
25.08.2024 233 178 1640 1 * 14 0 0 12 0 0 0
26.08.2024 232 202 1950 2 * 8 1 0 5 0 0 0
27.08.2024 221 170 1870 0 * 7 1 0 3 0 0 0
28.08.2024 212 163 1520 2 * 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
29.08.2024 204 124 1530 0 * 6 0 0 4 0 0 0
30.08.2024 214 143 1310 2 * 9 2 0 4 1 0 0
31.08.2024 232 180 1640 3 * 6 4 0 6 0 0 0
01.09.2024 226 156 1560 0 * 7 4 0 8 0 0 0
02.09.2024 238 200 1500 2 * 6 5 0 3 0 0 0
03.09.2024 242 133 1320 0 * 9 2 0 7 1 0 0
04.09.2024 262 151 1490 1 * 10 6 0 10 1 0 0
05.09.2024 241 167 1490 0 * 16 6 0 5 0 0 0
06.09.2024 249 188 1280 2 * 13 0 0 3 1 0 0
07.09.2024 222 179 1340 3 * 7 1 0 11 2 0 0
Media/Totale 241 186 1795 35 243 87 1 382 28 5 0

Grafico riassuntivo

Brillamenti

Vento Solare

Vento Solare

Il vento solare è un flusso di plasma rilasciato dall'alta atmosfera del Sole. È costituito principalmente da elettroni, protoni e particelle alfa con energie generalmente comprese tra 1,5 e 10 keV. Il flusso di particelle varia in densità, temperatura e velocità nel tempo e nella longitudine solare. Queste particelle possono sfuggire alla gravità del Sole a causa della loro elevata energia, dell'elevata temperatura della corona e dei fenomeni magnetici, elettrici ed elettromagnetici in essa contenuti.

Il vento solare è diviso in due componenti, rispettivamente denominate vento solare lento e vento solare veloce. Il vento solare lento ha una velocità di circa 400 km/s, una temperatura di 1,4–1,6×10e6 K e una composizione che si avvicina molto alla corona. Al contrario, il vento solare veloce ha una velocità tipica di 750 km/s, una temperatura di 8×10e5 K e corrisponde quasi alla composizione della fotosfera del Sole. Il vento solare lento è due volte più denso e di intensità più variabile del vento solare veloce. Il vento lento ha anche una struttura più complessa, con regioni turbolente e strutture su larga scala.

Flusso radio solare a 10.7 cm

Flusso radio solare a 10.7 cm

Il flusso radio solare a 10,7 cm (2800 MHz) è un eccellente indicatore dell'attività solare. Spesso chiamato indice F10.7, è uno dei record di attività solare più longevi. Le emissioni radio F10.7 hanno origine in alto nella cromosfera e in basso nella corona dell'atmosfera solare. L'F10.7 si correla bene con il numero di macchie solari e con un numero di record di raggi ultravioletti (UV) e di irraggiamento solare visibile. Riportato in "unità di flusso solare", (s.f.u.), l'F10.7 può variare da meno di 50 s.f.u., a oltre 300 s.f.u., nel corso di un ciclo solare.

Brillamenti Solari

Brillamenti Solari

Un brillamento solare è un improvviso lampo di luminosità osservato sulla superficie del Sole o sul ramo solare, che viene interpretato come un grande rilascio di energia fino a 6 × 10e25 joule di energia. Sono spesso, ma non sempre, seguite da una colossale espulsione di massa coronale. Il bagliore espelle nello spazio nubi di elettroni, ioni e atomi attraverso la corona del sole. Queste nuvole in genere raggiungono la Terra un giorno o due dopo l'evento.

I brillamenti solari colpiscono tutti gli strati dell'atmosfera solare (fotosfera, cromosfera e corona), quando il mezzo plasmatico viene riscaldato a decine di milioni di kelvin, mentre gli elettroni, i protoni e gli ioni più pesanti vengono accelerati vicino alla velocità della luce. Producono radiazioni in tutto lo spettro elettromagnetico a tutte le lunghezze d'onda, dalle onde radio ai raggi gamma, sebbene la maggior parte dell'energia sia diffusa su frequenze al di fuori del campo visivo e per questo motivo la maggior parte dei bagliori non sono visibili ad occhio nudo e devono essere osservato con strumenti speciali. I bagliori si verificano nelle regioni attive intorno alle macchie solari, dove intensi campi magnetici penetrano nella fotosfera per collegare la corona all'interno solare. I bagliori sono alimentati dal rilascio improvviso (scale temporali da minuti a decine di minuti) di energia magnetica immagazzinata nella corona. Gli stessi rilasci di energia possono produrre espulsioni di massa coronale (CME), sebbene la relazione tra CME e brillamenti non sia ancora ben stabilita.

La frequenza di occorrenza dei brillamenti solari varia, da diversi al giorno quando il Sole è particolarmente "attivo" a meno di uno alla settimana quando il Sole è "tranquillo", seguendo il ciclo di 11 anni (il ciclo solare). I grandi bagliori sono meno frequenti di quelli più piccoli.

Classificazione

I brillamenti solari sono classificati come A, B, C, M o X in base al flusso di picco (in watt per metro quadrato, W/m2) di raggi X da 100 a 800 picometri vicino alla Terra, misurato sulla sonda GOES.

Classificazione Flusso di picco compreso tra 100 e 800 picometer
W/m2
A < 10e-7
B 10e-7 to 10e-6
C 10e-6 to 10e-5
M 10e-5 to 10e-4
X 10e-4 to 10e-3
Z > 10e-3

Una precedente classificazione dei bagliori si basa su osservazioni spettrali Hα. Lo schema utilizza sia l'intensità che la superficie di emissione. La classificazione in intensità è qualitativa, riferendosi ai brillamenti come: (f)aint, (n)ormal o (b)rilliant. La superficie di emissione è misurata in termini di milionesimi di emisfero ed è descritta di seguito. (L'area totale dell'emisfero AH = 6,2 × 1012 km2.)

Classificazione Zona corretta
(milionesimi di emisfero)
S < 100
1 100 - 250
2 250 - 600
3 600 - 1200
4 > 1200

Numero di macchie solari

Macchie Solari

Le macchie solari sono fenomeni temporanei sulla fotosfera del Sole che appaiono visibilmente come macchie scure rispetto alle regioni circostanti. Corrispondono a concentrazioni di campo magnetico che inibiscono la convezione e determinano una temperatura superficiale ridotta rispetto alla fotosfera circostante. Le macchie solari di solito compaiono in coppia, con membri di coppia di polarità magnetica opposta. Il numero di macchie solari varia in base al ciclo solare di circa 11 anni.

Le popolazioni di macchie solari aumentano rapidamente e diminuiscono più lentamente su un ciclo irregolare di 11 anni, sebbene siano note variazioni significative nel numero di macchie solari che frequentano il periodo di 11 anni in periodi di tempo più lunghi. Ad esempio, dal 1900 agli anni '60, la tendenza dei massimi solari del conteggio delle macchie solari è stata al rialzo; dagli anni '60 ad oggi è leggermente diminuito. Negli ultimi decenni il Sole ha avuto un livello medio di attività delle macchie solari decisamente alto; è stato attivo per l'ultima volta in modo simile oltre 8.000 anni fa.

Il numero di macchie solari è correlato all'intensità della radiazione solare nel periodo dal 1979, quando sono diventate disponibili le misurazioni satellitari del flusso radiativo assoluto. Poiché le macchie solari sono più scure della fotosfera circostante, ci si potrebbe aspettare che più macchie solari porterebbero a una minore radiazione solare e una costante solare ridotta. Tuttavia, i margini circostanti delle macchie solari sono più luminosi della media e quindi più caldi; nel complesso, più macchie solari aumentano la costante o luminosità solare del Sole. La variazione causata dal ciclo delle macchie solari alla produzione solare è relativamente piccola, dell'ordine dello 0,1% della costante solare (un intervallo da picco a minimo di 1,3 W/m2 rispetto a 1366 W/m2 per la costante solare media).

Indici K



Oggi


0h
UTC
3h
UTC
6h
UTC
9h
UTC
12h
UTC
15h
UTC
18h
UTC
21h
UTC
2. 67 2. 33 1.



Data


Planetario stimato

Planetario stimato

Data A Indici K (UTC)
0h 3h 6h 9h 12h 15h 18h 21h
10.08.2024 7 1. 67 2. 00 1.
11.08.2024 28 2. 33 2. 33 4.
12.08.2024 22 6. 33 7. 00 7.
13.08.2024 17 4. 67 3. 33 2.
14.08.2024 12 4. 33 3. 00 2.
15.08.2024 6 2. 33 1. 00 0.
16.08.2024 8 2. 67 2. 00 2.
17.08.2024 31 1. 33 1. 00 1.
18.08.2024 13 2. 33 3. 00 2.
19.08.2024 10 1. 33 1. 67 1.
20.08.2024 7 1. 33 2. 00 2.
21.08.2024 8 3. 33 1. 67 2.
22.08.2024 10 3. 33 2. 67 2.
23.08.2024 7 2. 33 1. 67 2.
24.08.2024 10 1. 67 2. 00 3.
25.08.2024 7 2. 33 2. 33 2.
26.08.2024 5 2. 00 1. 00 1.
27.08.2024 11 1. 00 1. 00 2.
28.08.2024 26 5. 67 4. 00 5.
29.08.2024 5 2. 00 1. 33 1.
30.08.2024 23 1. 67 1. 33 3.
31.08.2024 26 4. 33 4. 00 4.
01.09.2024 16 3. 67 3. 67 2.
02.09.2024 8 2. 33 2. 00 2.
03.09.2024 7 1. 67 2. 00 2.
04.09.2024 13 1. 33 1. 00 2.
05.09.2024 7 2. 00 2. 33 1.
06.09.2024 8 1. 33 0. 67 2.
07.09.2024 7 2. 67 2. 00 1.
08.09.2024 8 2. 67 2. 33 1.

Media latitudine

Data A Indici K
10.08.2024 8 2 2 1 2 3 3 1 2
11.08.2024 23 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4
12.08.2024 51 5 6 5 5 6 5 4 4
13.08.2024 12 3 3 3 2 2 1 3 3
14.08.2024 11 4 3 2 2 2 2 1 3
15.08.2024 6 2 1 0 2 3 1 2 2
16.08.2024 11 3 2 2 3 4 2 2 1
17.08.2024 24 1 0 1 3 3 6 4 5
18.08.2024 15 3 3 3 3 4 2 2 3
19.08.2024 11 1 1 1 3 4 2 3 3
20.08.2024 9 1 2 2 2 4 2 2 2
21.08.2024 8 3 1 2 2 3 2 2 1
22.08.2024 11 3 3 2 3 3 2 2 2
23.08.2024 8 2 1 2 2 3 2 2 2
24.08.2024 12 1 2 3 3 3 4 2 2
25.08.2024 8 2 2 3 2 3 2 1 1
26.08.2024 4 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 0
27.08.2024 11 0 1 3 2 3 3 3 3
28.08.2024 30 5 3 5 3 3 6 3 2
29.08.2024 5 2 1 1 1 3 1 1 1
30.08.2024 16 2 1 3 3 4 4 3 3
31.08.2024 19 4 3 4 2 3 4 3 3
01.09.2024 16 3 3 2 4 4 3 3 2
02.09.2024 7 2 1 2 2 3 2 2 1
03.09.2024 10 1 2 2 3 3 3 2 2
04.09.2024 16 1 1 2 4 5 4 2 2
05.09.2024 8 2 2 1 2 3 2 2 2
06.09.2024 8 1 0 2 3 3 2 2 2
07.09.2024 9 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 1
08.09.2024 2 2 1 2 3 3 6

Alta latitudine

Data A Indici K
10.08.2024 6 2 3 1 1 1 2 1 1
11.08.2024 21 3 3 4 3 4 4 3 4
12.08.2024 91 5 6 5 7 7 6 7 5
13.08.2024 12 4 3 2 2 1 2 3 3
14.08.2024 16 4 5 3 3 2 2 1 2
15.08.2024 3 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 2
16.08.2024 11 2 2 3 4 3 2 1 1
17.08.2024 30 2 1 1 3 3 7 4 4
18.08.2024 11 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2
19.08.2024 11 1 2 0 1 5 3 2 2
20.08.2024 15 1 3 3 4 4 3 2 2
21.08.2024 13 2 2 3 4 4 3 1 1
22.08.2024 14 2 4 4 3 3 2 1 2
23.08.2024 10 2 2 4 1 4 0 2 1
24.08.2024 26 1 2 5 6 3 5 2 1
25.08.2024 7 2 2 4 2 0 1 1 0
26.08.2024 9 1 1 1 4 4 2 0 0
27.08.2024 8 0 0 1 2 4 3 1 2
28.08.2024 35 5 5 6 4 5 3 1 2
29.08.2024 3 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1
30.08.2024 25 2 1 2 4 5 5 5 3
31.08.2024 41 3 4 7 2 4 6 3 3
01.09.2024 27 4 4 3 4 5 5 3 2
02.09.2024 12 3 2 2 3 3 4 2 0
03.09.2024 8 1 2 3 4 2 1 1 0
04.09.2024 9 0 1 1 3 4 3 1 1
05.09.2024 4 1 2 1 2 1 0 1 2
06.09.2024 7 1 0 2 2 4 1 1 1
07.09.2024 6 2 2 0 1 3 1 2 1
08.09.2024 2 2 1 1 2 1 2

Approfondisci

Il K-index quantifica i disturbi nella componente orizzontale del campo magnetico terrestre con un numero intero compreso tra 0 e 9 con 1 calmo e 5 o più che indicano una tempesta geomagnetica. È derivato dalle fluttuazioni massime delle componenti orizzontali osservate su un magnetometro durante un intervallo di tre ore. L'etichetta K deriva dalla parola tedesca Kennziffer che significa "cifra caratteristica". Il K-index è stato introdotto da Julius Bartels nel 1938.

L'indice Kp planetario stimato di 3 ore è derivato dal NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center utilizzando i dati dei seguenti magnetometri a terra:

  • Sitka, Alaska
  • Meanook, Canada
  • Ottawa, Canada
  • Fredericksburg, Virginia
  • Hartland, UK
  • Wingst, Germany
  • Niemegk, Germany
  • Canberra, Australia

Questi dati sono resi disponibili grazie agli sforzi di cooperazione tra SWPC e fornitori di dati in tutto il mondo, che attualmente comprende l'US Geological Survey, il Natural Resources Canada (NRCAN), il British Geological Survey, il German Research Center for Geosciences (GFZ) e Geoscienze Australia. Importanti osservazioni del magnetometro sono fornite anche dall'Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris e dal Centro meteorologico spaziale coreano. Le osservazioni K-index vengono emesse quando gli indici Kp stimati dal NOAA più alti previsti per un giorno sono K = 5, 6, 7 o > = 8 ed è riportato in termini di scala NOAA G. Gli avvisi sull'indice K vengono emessi quando sono previsti indici Kp stimati dalla NOAA di 4, 5, 6 e 7 o superiori. Gli avvisi K-index vengono emessi quando gli indici Kp stimati dalla NOAA raggiungono 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 o 9.


Altre info
Origine dati: NOAA, Wikipedia

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