Meteorologia spaziale

Velocità del vento solare Vento solare dei campi magnetici Apice radioflusso a 10.7 cm
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CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Issued: 09.12.2023 13:33 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3387
Begin Time: 2023 Dec 08 1200 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 1399 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Issued: 08.12.2023 23:20 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2023 Dec 08 2256 UTC
Maximum Time: 2023 Dec 08 2307 UTC
End Time: 2023 Dec 08 2314 UTC
X-ray Class: M5.5
Location: S22W45
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Issued: 08.12.2023 23:07 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2023 Dec 08 2305 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Emesso: 08.12.2023 13:08 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2023 Dec 08 1200 UTC
Station: GOES16

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 05.12.2023 17:55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4523
Valid From: 2023 Dec 05 0451 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Dec 06 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 05.12.2023 11:47 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4522
Valid From: 2023 Dec 05 0451 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Dec 05 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 05.12.2023 04:51 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2023 Dec 05 0451 UTC
Valid To: 2023 Dec 05 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 04.12.2023 07:02 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2023 Dec 04 0700 UTC
Valid To: 2023 Dec 04 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted
Emesso: 02.12.2023 21:21 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Dec 03: None (Below G1) Dec 04: G2 (Moderate) Dec 05: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 02.12.2023 05:51 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4519
Valid From: 2023 Dec 01 0028 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Dec 02 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 02.12.2023 05:50 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1844
Valid From: 2023 Dec 01 0035 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Dec 02 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 02.12.2023 01:24 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2023 Dec 02 0122 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 01.12.2023 23:38 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2023 Dec 01 2335 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Emesso: 01.12.2023 20:55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 506
Valid From: 2023 Dec 01 0957 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Dec 02 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 01.12.2023 20:51 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2023 Dec 01 2050 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 01.12.2023 18:01 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2023 Dec 01 1759 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 01.12.2023 14:57 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4518
Valid From: 2023 Dec 01 0028 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Dec 02 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Emesso: 01.12.2023 14:57 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 505
Valid From: 2023 Dec 01 0957 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Dec 01 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Emesso: 01.12.2023 14:57 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Extension to Serial Number: 97
Valid From: 2023 Dec 01 1116 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Dec 01 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 01.12.2023 14:57 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1842
Valid From: 2023 Dec 01 0035 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Dec 02 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Emesso: 01.12.2023 13:49 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2023 Dec 01 1349 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 01.12.2023 12:22 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2023 Dec 01 1218 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Emesso: 01.12.2023 11:43 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 504
Valid From: 2023 Dec 01 0957 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Dec 01 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 01.12.2023 11:43 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1841
Valid From: 2023 Dec 01 0035 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Dec 01 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 01.12.2023 11:43 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4517
Valid From: 2023 Dec 01 0028 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Dec 01 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Emesso: 01.12.2023 11:24 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2023 Dec 01 1114 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Emesso: 01.12.2023 11:16 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Valid From: 2023 Dec 01 1116 UTC
Valid To: 2023 Dec 01 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G3 or greater

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Emesso: 01.12.2023 10:55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2023 Dec 01 1051 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 01.12.2023 10:38 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2023 Dec 01 1032 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Emesso: 01.12.2023 09:58 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2023 Dec 01 0957 UTC
Valid To: 2023 Dec 01 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 01.12.2023 05:54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1840
Valid From: 2023 Dec 01 0035 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Dec 01 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 01.12.2023 04:52 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4516
Valid From: 2023 Dec 01 0028 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Dec 01 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Emesso: 01.12.2023 02:06 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2023 Dec 01 0205 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 01.12.2023 00:36 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2023 Dec 01 0035 UTC
Valid To: 2023 Dec 01 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

SUMMARY
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Emesso: 01.12.2023 00:32 UTC
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Observed: 2023 Dec 01 0021 UTC
Deviation: 36 nT
Station: FRD

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 01.12.2023 00:29 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2023 Dec 01 0028 UTC
Valid To: 2023 Dec 01 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Emesso: 01.12.2023 00:13 UTC
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2023 Dec 01 0030 UTC
Valid To: 2023 Dec 01 0130 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2023 Dec 01 0000 UTC

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G3 Predicted
Emesso: 29.11.2023 17:56 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G3 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Nov 30: G1 (Minor) Dec 01: G3 (Strong) Dec 02: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Emesso: 28.11.2023 20:27 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2023 Nov 28 1959 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 854 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Emesso: 28.11.2023 20:20 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2023 Nov 28 1936 UTC
Maximum Time: 2023 Nov 28 1949 UTC
End Time: 2023 Nov 28 1956 UTC
Duration: 10 minutes
Peak Flux: 720 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 187 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Emesso: 28.11.2023 20:18 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2023 Nov 28 1935 UTC
Maximum Time: 2023 Nov 28 1950 UTC
End Time: 2023 Nov 28 2009 UTC
X-ray Class: M9.8
Location: S17E01
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Emesso: 28.11.2023 20:00 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2023 Nov 28 1934 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 340 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Emesso: 28.11.2023 19:58 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2023 Nov 28 1936 UTC
Maximum Time: 2023 Nov 28 1939 UTC
End Time: 2023 Nov 28 1940 UTC
Duration: 4 minutes
Peak Flux: 360 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 187 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Emesso: 28.11.2023 19:57 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2023 Nov 28 1921 UTC
Maximum Time: 2023 Nov 28 1923 UTC
End Time: 2023 Nov 28 1926 UTC
Duration: 5 minutes
Peak Flux: 210 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 187 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Emesso: 28.11.2023 19:46 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2023 Nov 28 1940 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted
Emesso: 28.11.2023 19:45 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Nov 29: None (Below G1) Nov 30: G1 (Minor) Dec 01: G2 (Moderate)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Emesso: 27.11.2023 18:19 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Nov 28: None (Below G1) Nov 29: None (Below G1) Nov 30: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 26.11.2023 11:55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4514
Valid From: 2023 Nov 25 0422 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Nov 26 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Type IV Radio Emission
Emesso: 26.11.2023 08:26 UTC
Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2023 Nov 26 0752 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Emesso: 26.11.2023 08:09 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2023 Nov 26 0747 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 413 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Emesso: 25.11.2023 20:06 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2023 Nov 25 2003 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Emesso: 25.11.2023 20:06 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2023 Nov 25 2003 UTC
Valid To: 2023 Nov 25 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 25.11.2023 20:06 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1838
Valid From: 2023 Nov 25 0824 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Nov 26 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 25.11.2023 20:06 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4513
Valid From: 2023 Nov 25 0422 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Nov 26 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 25.11.2023 19:28 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2023 Nov 25 1926 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 25.11.2023 17:36 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2023 Nov 25 1734 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 25.11.2023 14:52 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1837
Valid From: 2023 Nov 25 0824 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Nov 25 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 25.11.2023 14:50 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4512
Valid From: 2023 Nov 25 0422 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Nov 25 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 25.11.2023 13:27 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2023 Nov 25 1327 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 25.11.2023 12:03 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2023 Nov 25 1159 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 25.11.2023 09:01 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2023 Nov 25 0859 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

SUMMARY
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Emesso: 25.11.2023 08:52 UTC
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Observed: 2023 Nov 25 0835 UTC
Deviation: 46 nT
Station: CNB

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Emesso: 25.11.2023 08:43 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2023 Nov 25 0843 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 25.11.2023 08:18 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2023 Nov 25 0824 UTC
Valid To: 2023 Nov 25 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Emesso: 25.11.2023 08:14 UTC
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2023 Nov 25 0824 UTC
Valid To: 2023 Nov 25 0854 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2023 Nov 25 0754 UTC

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 25.11.2023 04:23 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2023 Nov 25 0422 UTC
Valid To: 2023 Nov 25 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Emesso: 24.11.2023 20:56 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Nov 25: None (Below G1) Nov 26: G1 (Minor) Nov 27: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 22.11.2023 23:56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4510
Valid From: 2023 Nov 21 0635 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Nov 23 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 22.11.2023 11:48 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1835
Valid From: 2023 Nov 22 0448 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Nov 22 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 22.11.2023 11:47 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4509
Valid From: 2023 Nov 21 0635 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Nov 22 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 22.11.2023 08:26 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2023 Nov 22 0807 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 22.11.2023 06:01 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2023 Nov 22 0550 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 22.11.2023 04:49 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2023 Nov 22 0448 UTC
Valid To: 2023 Nov 22 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 22.11.2023 01:53 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4508
Valid From: 2023 Nov 21 0635 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Nov 22 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 21.11.2023 16:58 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4507
Valid From: 2023 Nov 21 0635 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Nov 22 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 21.11.2023 11:54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4506
Valid From: 2023 Nov 21 0635 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Nov 21 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 21.11.2023 08:52 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2023 Nov 21 0851 UTC
Valid To: 2023 Nov 21 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Emesso: 21.11.2023 08:40 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2023 Nov 21 0824 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 21.11.2023 06:35 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2023 Nov 21 0635 UTC
Valid To: 2023 Nov 21 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CANCEL WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Emesso: 20.11.2023 17:11 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Cancel Serial Number: 977
Original Issue Time: 2023 Nov 17 1654 UTC

Comment: The solar wind environment is not likely to drive G1 geomagnetic storm levels.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Emesso: 17.11.2023 16:54 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Nov 18: None (Below G1) Nov 19: G1 (Minor) Nov 20: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Emesso: 16.11.2023 17:43 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Nov 17: None (Below G1) Nov 18: None (Below G1) Nov 19: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 15.11.2023 20:13 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4504
Valid From: 2023 Nov 15 1349 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Nov 16 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 15.11.2023 13:50 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2023 Nov 15 1349 UTC
Valid To: 2023 Nov 15 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Emesso: 13.11.2023 01:23 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2023 Nov 13 0123 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Emesso: 13.11.2023 01:02 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2023 Nov 13 0102 UTC
Valid To: 2023 Nov 13 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 12.11.2023 23:38 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4502
Valid From: 2023 Nov 12 0815 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2023 Nov 13 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Emesso: 12.11.2023 08:20 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2023 Nov 12 0820 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 12.11.2023 08:14 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2023 Nov 12 0815 UTC
Valid To: 2023 Nov 12 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Emesso: 12.11.2023 05:00 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3385
Begin Time: 2023 Nov 07 1600 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 4373 pfu

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Emesso: 11.11.2023 06:47 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3384
Begin Time: 2023 Nov 07 1600 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 3914 pfu

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Emesso: 10.11.2023 07:41 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3383
Begin Time: 2023 Nov 07 1600 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 2556 pfu

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Emesso: 10.11.2023 06:00 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2023 Nov 10 0559 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Emesso: 10.11.2023 04:08 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2023 Nov 10 0408 UTC
Valid To: 2023 Nov 10 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

Tabella

Data Radio flux 10.7 cm SESC Numero di macchie solari Zona macchie solari 10E-6 Nuove regioni GOES15 X-ray Bkgd flux Brillamenti
X-ray Ottica
C M X S 1 2 3
09.11.2023 139 93 480 0 * 2 0 0 2 0 0 0
10.11.2023 144 93 500 1 * 2 0 0 1 0 0 0
11.11.2023 142 85 510 0 * 14 1 0 12 0 0 0
12.11.2023 137 78 710 1 * 3 0 0 4 0 0 0
13.11.2023 134 85 560 1 * 11 0 0 5 0 0 0
14.11.2023 124 86 580 1 * 20 1 0 1 0 0 0
15.11.2023 119 41 210 0 * 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
16.11.2023 118 28 130 0 * 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
17.11.2023 120 26 180 1 * 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
18.11.2023 127 39 340 1 * 4 3 0 0 0 0 0
19.11.2023 140 51 400 1 * 10 0 0 6 0 0 0
20.11.2023 157 127 770 6 * 14 1 0 3 1 0 0
21.11.2023 172 138 810 1 * 12 0 0 7 0 0 0
22.11.2023 190 174 880 0 * 3 0 0 12 0 0 0
23.11.2023 194 176 1560 3 * 10 2 0 3 0 0 0
24.11.2023 178 184 1590 1 * 7 1 0 9 2 0 0
25.11.2023 176 179 1400 1 * 3 0 0 3 0 0 0
26.11.2023 180 169 1220 1 * 5 0 0 4 0 0 0
27.11.2023 187 159 885 0 * 6 0 0 2 0 0 0
28.11.2023 182 130 335 1 * 3 2 0 4 1 0 0
29.11.2023 171 164 530 3 * 10 0 0 6 0 0 0
30.11.2023 167 138 620 0 * 7 0 0 1 0 0 0
01.12.2023 162 140 640 1 * 7 2 0 2 0 0 0
02.12.2023 148 92 580 0 * 9 0 0 3 0 0 0
03.12.2023 139 107 550 2 * 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
04.12.2023 138 113 660 1 * 9 0 0 5 0 0 0
05.12.2023 142 133 800 1 * 22 3 0 5 4 1 0
06.12.2023 130 125 780 1 * 13 2 0 13 1 1 0
07.12.2023 135 121 710 0 * 10 0 0 4 0 0 0
08.12.2023 133 125 690 2 * 14 1 0 6 1 0 0
Media/Totale 151 113 687 32 244 19 0 123 10 2 0

Grafico riassuntivo

Brillamenti

Vento Solare

Vento Solare

Il vento solare è un flusso di plasma rilasciato dall'alta atmosfera del Sole. È costituito principalmente da elettroni, protoni e particelle alfa con energie generalmente comprese tra 1,5 e 10 keV. Il flusso di particelle varia in densità, temperatura e velocità nel tempo e nella longitudine solare. Queste particelle possono sfuggire alla gravità del Sole a causa della loro elevata energia, dell'elevata temperatura della corona e dei fenomeni magnetici, elettrici ed elettromagnetici in essa contenuti.

Il vento solare è diviso in due componenti, rispettivamente denominate vento solare lento e vento solare veloce. Il vento solare lento ha una velocità di circa 400 km/s, una temperatura di 1,4–1,6×10e6 K e una composizione che si avvicina molto alla corona. Al contrario, il vento solare veloce ha una velocità tipica di 750 km/s, una temperatura di 8×10e5 K e corrisponde quasi alla composizione della fotosfera del Sole. Il vento solare lento è due volte più denso e di intensità più variabile del vento solare veloce. Il vento lento ha anche una struttura più complessa, con regioni turbolente e strutture su larga scala.

Flusso radio solare a 10.7 cm

Flusso radio solare a 10.7 cm

Il flusso radio solare a 10,7 cm (2800 MHz) è un eccellente indicatore dell'attività solare. Spesso chiamato indice F10.7, è uno dei record di attività solare più longevi. Le emissioni radio F10.7 hanno origine in alto nella cromosfera e in basso nella corona dell'atmosfera solare. L'F10.7 si correla bene con il numero di macchie solari e con un numero di record di raggi ultravioletti (UV) e di irraggiamento solare visibile. Riportato in "unità di flusso solare", (s.f.u.), l'F10.7 può variare da meno di 50 s.f.u., a oltre 300 s.f.u., nel corso di un ciclo solare.

Brillamenti Solari

Brillamenti Solari

Un brillamento solare è un improvviso lampo di luminosità osservato sulla superficie del Sole o sul ramo solare, che viene interpretato come un grande rilascio di energia fino a 6 × 10e25 joule di energia. Sono spesso, ma non sempre, seguite da una colossale espulsione di massa coronale. Il bagliore espelle nello spazio nubi di elettroni, ioni e atomi attraverso la corona del sole. Queste nuvole in genere raggiungono la Terra un giorno o due dopo l'evento.

I brillamenti solari colpiscono tutti gli strati dell'atmosfera solare (fotosfera, cromosfera e corona), quando il mezzo plasmatico viene riscaldato a decine di milioni di kelvin, mentre gli elettroni, i protoni e gli ioni più pesanti vengono accelerati vicino alla velocità della luce. Producono radiazioni in tutto lo spettro elettromagnetico a tutte le lunghezze d'onda, dalle onde radio ai raggi gamma, sebbene la maggior parte dell'energia sia diffusa su frequenze al di fuori del campo visivo e per questo motivo la maggior parte dei bagliori non sono visibili ad occhio nudo e devono essere osservato con strumenti speciali. I bagliori si verificano nelle regioni attive intorno alle macchie solari, dove intensi campi magnetici penetrano nella fotosfera per collegare la corona all'interno solare. I bagliori sono alimentati dal rilascio improvviso (scale temporali da minuti a decine di minuti) di energia magnetica immagazzinata nella corona. Gli stessi rilasci di energia possono produrre espulsioni di massa coronale (CME), sebbene la relazione tra CME e brillamenti non sia ancora ben stabilita.

La frequenza di occorrenza dei brillamenti solari varia, da diversi al giorno quando il Sole è particolarmente "attivo" a meno di uno alla settimana quando il Sole è "tranquillo", seguendo il ciclo di 11 anni (il ciclo solare). I grandi bagliori sono meno frequenti di quelli più piccoli.

Classificazione

I brillamenti solari sono classificati come A, B, C, M o X in base al flusso di picco (in watt per metro quadrato, W/m2) di raggi X da 100 a 800 picometri vicino alla Terra, misurato sulla sonda GOES.

Classificazione Flusso di picco compreso tra 100 e 800 picometer
W/m2
A < 10e-7
B 10e-7 to 10e-6
C 10e-6 to 10e-5
M 10e-5 to 10e-4
X 10e-4 to 10e-3
Z > 10e-3

Una precedente classificazione dei bagliori si basa su osservazioni spettrali Hα. Lo schema utilizza sia l'intensità che la superficie di emissione. La classificazione in intensità è qualitativa, riferendosi ai brillamenti come: (f)aint, (n)ormal o (b)rilliant. La superficie di emissione è misurata in termini di milionesimi di emisfero ed è descritta di seguito. (L'area totale dell'emisfero AH = 6,2 × 1012 km2.)

Classificazione Zona corretta
(milionesimi di emisfero)
S < 100
1 100 - 250
2 250 - 600
3 600 - 1200
4 > 1200

Numero di macchie solari

Macchie Solari

Le macchie solari sono fenomeni temporanei sulla fotosfera del Sole che appaiono visibilmente come macchie scure rispetto alle regioni circostanti. Corrispondono a concentrazioni di campo magnetico che inibiscono la convezione e determinano una temperatura superficiale ridotta rispetto alla fotosfera circostante. Le macchie solari di solito compaiono in coppia, con membri di coppia di polarità magnetica opposta. Il numero di macchie solari varia in base al ciclo solare di circa 11 anni.

Le popolazioni di macchie solari aumentano rapidamente e diminuiscono più lentamente su un ciclo irregolare di 11 anni, sebbene siano note variazioni significative nel numero di macchie solari che frequentano il periodo di 11 anni in periodi di tempo più lunghi. Ad esempio, dal 1900 agli anni '60, la tendenza dei massimi solari del conteggio delle macchie solari è stata al rialzo; dagli anni '60 ad oggi è leggermente diminuito. Negli ultimi decenni il Sole ha avuto un livello medio di attività delle macchie solari decisamente alto; è stato attivo per l'ultima volta in modo simile oltre 8.000 anni fa.

Il numero di macchie solari è correlato all'intensità della radiazione solare nel periodo dal 1979, quando sono diventate disponibili le misurazioni satellitari del flusso radiativo assoluto. Poiché le macchie solari sono più scure della fotosfera circostante, ci si potrebbe aspettare che più macchie solari porterebbero a una minore radiazione solare e una costante solare ridotta. Tuttavia, i margini circostanti delle macchie solari sono più luminosi della media e quindi più caldi; nel complesso, più macchie solari aumentano la costante o luminosità solare del Sole. La variazione causata dal ciclo delle macchie solari alla produzione solare è relativamente piccola, dell'ordine dello 0,1% della costante solare (un intervallo da picco a minimo di 1,3 W/m2 rispetto a 1366 W/m2 per la costante solare media).

Indici K



Oggi


0h
UTC
3h
UTC
6h
UTC
9h
UTC
12h
UTC
15h
UTC
18h
UTC
21h
UTC
0. 33 0. 33 1.



Data


Planetario stimato

Planetario stimato

Data A Indici K (UTC)
0h 3h 6h 9h 12h 15h 18h 21h
10.11.2023 10 2. 33 3. 67 2.
11.11.2023 5 2. 00 1. 33 1.
12.11.2023 10 0. 67 1. 33 4.
13.11.2023 16 5. 00 3. 67 1.
14.11.2023 6 2. 33 1. 00 0.
15.11.2023 12 2. 33 1. 67 2.
16.11.2023 8 1. 67 1. 00 2.
17.11.2023 3 0. 67 0. 33 0.
18.11.2023 3 0. 33 1. 00 0.
19.11.2023 4 0. 67 0. 33 1.
20.11.2023 5 1. 00 1. 00 2.
21.11.2023 18 1. 33 2. 33 4.
22.11.2023 30 4. 00 5. 00 5.
23.11.2023 7 2. 67 2. 33 2.
24.11.2023 7 1. 67 1. 67 1.
25.11.2023 38 3. 00 3. 00 4.
26.11.2023 10 4. 00 2. 33 3.
27.11.2023 7 1. 33 1. 67 2.
28.11.2023 7 2. 00 2. 00 2.
29.11.2023 5 1. 00 2. 00 2.
30.11.2023 5 1. 67 2. 00 1.
01.12.2023 56 4. 33 4. 00 4.
02.12.2023 14 5. 33 4. 00 2.
03.12.2023 11 2. 67 3. 00 3.
04.12.2023 9 2. 33 2. 33 3.
05.12.2023 15 3. 33 3. 33 2.
06.12.2023 10 2. 67 2. 67 2.
07.12.2023 5 1. 33 0. 67 1.
08.12.2023 5 1. 00 0. 33 1.
09.12.2023 3 0. 33 0. 33 1.

Media latitudine

Data A Indici K
10.11.2023 7 1 3 2 2 2 2 1 1
11.11.2023 4 1 1 1 0 2 2 1 1
12.11.2023 10 0 1 4 3 2 2 1 3
13.11.2023 15 5 4 1 2 3 2 2 1
14.11.2023 5 2 1 0 1 2 3 2 0
15.11.2023 11 2 1 3 2 3 4 2 2
16.11.2023 7 1 1 2 2 2 3 2 2
17.11.2023 3 1 0 0 1 2 2 1 0
18.11.2023 2 0 1 0 0 2 1 1 1
19.11.2023 3 0 0 1 1 2 2 1 1
20.11.2023 4 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1
21.11.2023 15 1 2 4 3 4 3 2 3
22.11.2023 17 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 2
23.11.2023 4 2 2 2 1 1 1 0 1
24.11.2023 5 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2
25.11.2023 18 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 3
26.11.2023 4 2 2
27.11.2023 2 0 1 1
28.11.2023 6 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1
29.11.2023 5 0 2 2 1 1 2 2 1
30.11.2023 4 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 0
01.12.2023 30 4 3 3 6 5 3 3 4
02.12.2023 11 5 3 2 1 1 2 1 1
03.12.2023 10 2 3 3 1 2 3 2 2
04.12.2023 9 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 1
05.12.2023 9 3 3 2 2 3 1 1 2
06.12.2023 7 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1
07.12.2023 4 1 0 1 1 1 2 2 2
08.12.2023 4 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1
09.12.2023 0 0 0 1 1 2 0

Alta latitudine

Data A Indici K
10.11.2023 13 3 3 4 3 4 2 0 0
11.11.2023 3 1 1 2 2 1 0 1 0
12.11.2023 16 0 1 5 5 3 2 1 2
13.11.2023 11 3 3 2 2 4 3 1 0
14.11.2023 5 1 1 1 1 1 3 2 0
15.11.2023 22 1 2 3 4 6 4 2 2
16.11.2023 12 1 1 4 3 4 2 1 2
17.11.2023 2 0 1 1 2 1 0 0 0
18.11.2023 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
19.11.2023 4 0 0 3 3 1 0 0 0
20.11.2023 4 0 0 3 2 1 1 0 0
21.11.2023 31 0 1 5 3 6 6 2 3
22.11.2023 60 3 6 7 6 5 6 4 2
23.11.2023 8 1 1 4 3 3 1 0 0
24.11.2023 6 0 1 0 1 3 3 2 2
25.11.2023 61 2 2 7 6 6 6 6 3
26.11.2023 12 3 1 4 4 3 1 1 1
27.11.2023 9 0 0 4 2 4 2 1 0
28.11.2023 11 1 0 2 5 2 3 2 1
29.11.2023 8 0 1 3 3 4 1 1 0
30.11.2023 6 0 2 3 2 3 0 0 0
01.12.2023 57 3 3 4 7 6 6 6 3
02.12.2023 8 4 3 2 2 0 2 0 1
03.12.2023 8 2 2 3 2 1 2 2 2
04.12.2023 14 1 1 4 4 4 3 2 1
05.12.2023 32 1 4 2 6 6 4 3 3
06.12.2023 25 3 2 5 5 5 3 3 2
07.12.2023 4 1 1 2 2 2 0 1 0
08.12.2023 3 0 0 1 1 0 2 2 1
09.12.2023 0 0 1 0 0 0 0

Approfondisci

Il K-index quantifica i disturbi nella componente orizzontale del campo magnetico terrestre con un numero intero compreso tra 0 e 9 con 1 calmo e 5 o più che indicano una tempesta geomagnetica. È derivato dalle fluttuazioni massime delle componenti orizzontali osservate su un magnetometro durante un intervallo di tre ore. L'etichetta K deriva dalla parola tedesca Kennziffer che significa "cifra caratteristica". Il K-index è stato introdotto da Julius Bartels nel 1938.

L'indice Kp planetario stimato di 3 ore è derivato dal NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center utilizzando i dati dei seguenti magnetometri a terra:

  • Sitka, Alaska
  • Meanook, Canada
  • Ottawa, Canada
  • Fredericksburg, Virginia
  • Hartland, UK
  • Wingst, Germany
  • Niemegk, Germany
  • Canberra, Australia

Questi dati sono resi disponibili grazie agli sforzi di cooperazione tra SWPC e fornitori di dati in tutto il mondo, che attualmente comprende l'US Geological Survey, il Natural Resources Canada (NRCAN), il British Geological Survey, il German Research Center for Geosciences (GFZ) e Geoscienze Australia. Importanti osservazioni del magnetometro sono fornite anche dall'Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris e dal Centro meteorologico spaziale coreano. Le osservazioni K-index vengono emesse quando gli indici Kp stimati dal NOAA più alti previsti per un giorno sono K = 5, 6, 7 o > = 8 ed è riportato in termini di scala NOAA G. Gli avvisi sull'indice K vengono emessi quando sono previsti indici Kp stimati dalla NOAA di 4, 5, 6 e 7 o superiori. Gli avvisi K-index vengono emessi quando gli indici Kp stimati dalla NOAA raggiungono 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 o 9.


Altre info
Origine dati: NOAA, Wikipedia

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